{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "15",
    "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
    "party_id": "DPP",
    "party_label": "国民",
    "party_label_en": "Democratic Party for the People",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -24.222856,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 33.244169
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153850",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 198.883,
      "target_votes": 265.0,
      "votes_delta": 66.117,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 33.244169,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.702904,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.023697,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.320793
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155810",
      "municipality_name": "関川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sekikawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 161.117,
      "target_votes": 181.0,
      "votes_delta": 19.883,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.340721,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.052479,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.897866,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.845387
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152099",
      "municipality_name": "加茂市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1017.326,
      "target_votes": 1015.0,
      "votes_delta": -2.326,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.228639,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.871603,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.934026,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.062423
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153613",
      "municipality_name": "田上町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 397.011,
      "target_votes": 387.0,
      "votes_delta": -10.011,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.521593,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.872269,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.882447,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.010178
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152242",
      "municipality_name": "佐渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sado-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1561.899,
      "target_votes": 1516.0,
      "votes_delta": -45.899,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.938666,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.011697,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.950465,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.061232
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152129",
      "municipality_name": "村上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1877.375,
      "target_votes": 1779.0,
      "votes_delta": -98.375,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.240029,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.765559,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.269604,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.495955
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152110",
      "municipality_name": "見附市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1913.708,
      "target_votes": 1809.0,
      "votes_delta": -104.708,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.471472,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.462091,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.289786,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.172305
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153427",
      "municipality_name": "弥彦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahiko-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 384.228,
      "target_votes": 351.0,
      "votes_delta": -33.228,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.64799,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.229594,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.341255,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.888339
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152161",
      "municipality_name": "糸魚川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoigawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1409.793,
      "target_votes": 1282.0,
      "votes_delta": -127.793,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.064664,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.637131,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.109999,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.527132
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152021",
      "municipality_name": "長岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13044.547,
      "target_votes": 11831.0,
      "votes_delta": -1213.547,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.303098,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.960939,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.731922,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.229017
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152250",
      "municipality_name": "魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1280.205,
      "target_votes": 1151.0,
      "votes_delta": -129.205,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.092524,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.140017,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.772979,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.367038
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152188",
      "municipality_name": "五泉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gosen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1734.882,
      "target_votes": 1559.0,
      "votes_delta": -175.882,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.137981,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.553803,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.056534,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.497269
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154059",
      "municipality_name": "出雲崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumozaki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 159.681,
      "target_votes": 143.0,
      "votes_delta": -16.681,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.446453,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.21559,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.716768,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.498822
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152080",
      "municipality_name": "小千谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ojiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1589.402,
      "target_votes": 1423.0,
      "votes_delta": -166.402,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.469472,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.762829,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.460166,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.302663
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154822",
      "municipality_name": "津南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 341.145,
      "target_votes": 305.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.595201,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.886254,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.362119,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.524135
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151068",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1960.874,
      "target_votes": 1713.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.640996,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.919937,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.610636,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.309301
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151084",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西蒲区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2222.393,
      "target_votes": 1940.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.706708,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.720739,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.533103,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.187636
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152234",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Agano-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.158375,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.742286,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.008683
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151050",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市秋葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiha-ku",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.569306,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.485052,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.440739,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.044313
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152102",
      "municipality_name": "十日町市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokamachi-shi",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.750702
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152048",
      "municipality_name": "三条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanjo-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.647922,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.068755,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.11975
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152064",
      "municipality_name": "新発田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.917014,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.32741
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154610",
      "municipality_name": "湯沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuzawa-machi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.44575,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.470102
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152137",
      "municipality_name": "燕市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsubame-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.315361,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.953749,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.517171,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.436578
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152170",
      "municipality_name": "妙高市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Myoko-shi",
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.002498
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151017",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.264158,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.61675
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155861",
      "municipality_name": "粟島浦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awashimaura-mura",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.761538,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.542056,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.219482
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151076",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 8458.938,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.630447,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.470802,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.885916
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151009",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niigata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 41214.884,
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      "votes_delta": -7778.884,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.873968,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.358251,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.83962
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152226",
      "municipality_name": "上越市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joetsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8786.091,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.088022,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.440507,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.125407,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.3151
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152269",
      "municipality_name": "南魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiuonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2299.118,
      "target_votes": 1857.0,
      "votes_delta": -442.118,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.229896,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.453261,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.051185,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.402076
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152277",
      "municipality_name": "胎内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tainai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1294.314,
      "target_votes": 1034.0,
      "votes_delta": -260.314,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.112121,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.168478,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.355243,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.813235
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151041",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市江南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3555.786,
      "target_votes": 2827.0,
      "votes_delta": -728.786,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.495778,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.325602,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.256713,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.068889
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "municipality_name": "新潟市東区",
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  ]
}
