{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "15",
    "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
    "party_id": "ISH",
    "party_label": "維新",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": 36.363636,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 101.754386
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155810",
      "municipality_name": "関川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sekikawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 57.0,
      "target_votes": 115.0,
      "votes_delta": 58.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 101.754386,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.141247,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.382622,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.241375
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151084",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西蒲区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 863.0,
      "target_votes": 1586.0,
      "votes_delta": 723.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 83.77752,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.386439,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.158506,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.772067
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152242",
      "municipality_name": "佐渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sado-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 711.0,
      "target_votes": 1283.0,
      "votes_delta": 572.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 80.45007,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.736615,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.035915,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.2993
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151068",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 690.0,
      "target_votes": 1226.0,
      "votes_delta": 536.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 77.681159,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.490666,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.162662,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.671996
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151041",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市江南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1138.0,
      "target_votes": 1992.0,
      "votes_delta": 854.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 75.043937,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.624666,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.522593,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.897927
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152110",
      "municipality_name": "見附市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsuke-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 665.0,
      "target_votes": 1152.0,
      "votes_delta": 487.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 73.233083,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.28801,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.915884,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.627874
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151076",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2974.0,
      "target_votes": 5043.0,
      "votes_delta": 2069.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 69.569603,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.992804,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.939017,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.946213
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151009",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niigata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 14121.505,
      "target_votes": 23553.0,
      "votes_delta": 9431.495,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 66.788172,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.83674,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.592142,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.755402
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151025",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2394.127,
      "target_votes": 3987.0,
      "votes_delta": 1592.873,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 66.532519,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.903616,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.891366,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.98775
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151033",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3591.378,
      "target_votes": 5926.0,
      "votes_delta": 2334.622,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 65.006301,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.161842,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.082078,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.920236
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152129",
      "municipality_name": "村上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 728.625,
      "target_votes": 1196.0,
      "votes_delta": 467.375,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 64.144793,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.62577,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.214978,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.589208
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152277",
      "municipality_name": "胎内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tainai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 440.0,
      "target_votes": 717.0,
      "votes_delta": 277.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 62.954545,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.11681,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.100299,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.983489
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152137",
      "municipality_name": "燕市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsubame-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1626.0,
      "target_votes": 2644.0,
      "votes_delta": 1018.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 62.607626,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.103056,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.821993,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.718937
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152064",
      "municipality_name": "新発田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1396.0,
      "target_votes": 2266.0,
      "votes_delta": 870.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 62.320917,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.086857,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.026731,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.939874
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152269",
      "municipality_name": "南魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiuonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 859.0,
      "target_votes": 1388.0,
      "votes_delta": 529.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 61.583236,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.15832,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.270352,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.112032
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154059",
      "municipality_name": "出雲崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumozaki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 65.0,
      "target_votes": 105.0,
      "votes_delta": 40.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 61.538462,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.937189,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.931893,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.994704
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155861",
      "municipality_name": "粟島浦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awashimaura-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 5.0,
      "target_votes": 8.0,
      "votes_delta": 3.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 60.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.262443,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.738318,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.475875
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153079",
      "municipality_name": "聖籠町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Seiro-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 212.0,
      "target_votes": 335.0,
      "votes_delta": 123.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 58.018868,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.216019,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.160197,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.944178
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153613",
      "municipality_name": "田上町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 185.0,
      "target_votes": 292.0,
      "votes_delta": 107.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 57.837838,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.202354,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.192957,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.990603
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152188",
      "municipality_name": "五泉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gosen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 718.42,
      "target_votes": 1132.0,
      "votes_delta": 413.58,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 57.567996,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.128053,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.123795,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.995742
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151050",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市秋葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiha-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1273.0,
      "target_votes": 1987.0,
      "votes_delta": 714.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 56.087981,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.483186,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.663873,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.180687
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152099",
      "municipality_name": "加茂市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 434.0,
      "target_votes": 676.0,
      "votes_delta": 242.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 55.760369,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.358093,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.28414,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.926047
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154822",
      "municipality_name": "津南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 131.0,
      "target_votes": 204.0,
      "votes_delta": 73.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 55.725191,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.644328,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.255319,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.610991
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152250",
      "municipality_name": "魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 546.0,
      "target_votes": 847.0,
      "votes_delta": 301.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 55.128205,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.045176,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.984112,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.938936
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153427",
      "municipality_name": "弥彦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahiko-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 171.0,
      "target_votes": 265.0,
      "votes_delta": 94.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 54.97076,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.107615,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.297529,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.189914
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153850",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 102.0,
      "target_votes": 158.0,
      "votes_delta": 56.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 54.901961,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.899088,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.995261,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.096173
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152234",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Agano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 604.0,
      "target_votes": 932.0,
      "votes_delta": 328.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 54.304636,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.012619,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.655577,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.642958
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152161",
      "municipality_name": "糸魚川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoigawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 646.0,
      "target_votes": 996.0,
      "votes_delta": 350.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 54.179567,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.041288,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.746926,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.705638
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152048",
      "municipality_name": "三条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanjo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1752.521,
      "target_votes": 2698.0,
      "votes_delta": 945.479,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 53.949653,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.602008,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.694746,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.092738
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152226",
      "municipality_name": "上越市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joetsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2986.434,
      "target_votes": 4573.0,
      "votes_delta": 1586.566,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 53.125768,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.208873,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.226823,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.01795
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151017",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1198.0,
      "target_votes": 1806.0,
      "votes_delta": 608.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 50.751252,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.657122,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.676925,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.019803
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152102",
      "municipality_name": "十日町市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokamachi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 787.177,
      "target_votes": 1183.0,
      "votes_delta": 395.823,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 50.283862,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.046115,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.819326,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.773211
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152080",
      "municipality_name": "小千谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ojiya-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 613.0,
      "target_votes": 906.0,
      "votes_delta": 293.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 47.797716,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.379645,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.386445,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.0068
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152056",
      "municipality_name": "柏崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiwazaki-shi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.159233,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.910317
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152021",
      "municipality_name": "長岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaoka-shi",
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    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152170",
      "municipality_name": "妙高市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Myoko-shi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.899762,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.554839
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155047",
      "municipality_name": "刈羽村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kariwa-mura",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.594728,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.894418,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.29969
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154610",
      "municipality_name": "湯沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuzawa-machi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.568755,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.42571,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.856955
    }
  ]
}
