{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "15",
    "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
    "party_id": "SDP",
    "party_label": "社民",
    "party_label_en": "Social Democratic Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 38,
    "municipality_count": 38,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -46.153846,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 3.669725
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153850",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aga-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 109.0,
      "target_votes": 113.0,
      "votes_delta": 4.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.669725,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.029417,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.14218,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.112763
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155861",
      "municipality_name": "粟島浦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awashimaura-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 1.0,
      "target_votes": 1.0,
      "votes_delta": 0.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.0,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.452489,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.46729,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.014801
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153613",
      "municipality_name": "田上町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tagami-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 120.0,
      "target_votes": 113.0,
      "votes_delta": -7.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.833333,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.077203,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.009603,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.0676
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152242",
      "municipality_name": "佐渡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sado-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 625.0,
      "target_votes": 560.0,
      "votes_delta": -65.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.4,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.405604,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.198061,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.207543
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154822",
      "municipality_name": "津南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsunan-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 67.0,
      "target_votes": 60.0,
      "votes_delta": -7.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.447761,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.352442,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.251564,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.100878
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151050",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市秋葉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akiha-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 868.054,
      "target_votes": 760.0,
      "votes_delta": -108.054,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.447843,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.375172,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.166353,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.208819
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152129",
      "municipality_name": "村上市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Murakami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 438.023,
      "target_votes": 372.0,
      "votes_delta": -66.023,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.072953,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.578518,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.311013,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.267505
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153427",
      "municipality_name": "弥彦村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yahiko-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 82.0,
      "target_votes": 69.0,
      "votes_delta": -13.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.853659,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.969733,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.639734,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.329999
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152269",
      "municipality_name": "南魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiuonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 725.0,
      "target_votes": 604.0,
      "votes_delta": -121.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.689655,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.665637,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.293439,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.372198
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151084",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西蒲区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishikan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 704.015,
      "target_votes": 586.0,
      "votes_delta": -118.015,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.763137,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.762577,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.275463,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.487114
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152064",
      "municipality_name": "新発田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shibata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 984.018,
      "target_votes": 799.0,
      "votes_delta": -185.018,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.802298,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.175876,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.772444,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.403432
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152099",
      "municipality_name": "加茂市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 265.012,
      "target_votes": 214.0,
      "votes_delta": -51.012,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -19.24894,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.050542,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.67279,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.377752
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152021",
      "municipality_name": "長岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2903.97,
      "target_votes": 2314.0,
      "votes_delta": -589.97,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.315981,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.217499,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.903446,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.314053
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152161",
      "municipality_name": "糸魚川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoigawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 482.0,
      "target_votes": 382.0,
      "votes_delta": -100.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.746888,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.269196,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.820608,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.448588
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152277",
      "municipality_name": "胎内市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tainai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 156.0,
      "target_votes": 123.0,
      "votes_delta": -33.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.153846,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.105051,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.874947,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.230104
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152234",
      "municipality_name": "阿賀野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Agano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 332.0,
      "target_votes": 261.0,
      "votes_delta": -71.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.385542,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.655943,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.303761,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.352182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155047",
      "municipality_name": "刈羽村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kariwa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 42.0,
      "target_votes": 33.0,
      "votes_delta": -9.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.428571,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.729819,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.427953,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.301866
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152102",
      "municipality_name": "十日町市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokamachi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 476.946,
      "target_votes": 372.0,
      "votes_delta": -104.946,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.003749,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.845623,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.51546,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.330163
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152137",
      "municipality_name": "燕市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsubame-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 574.0,
      "target_votes": 447.0,
      "votes_delta": -127.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.125436,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.448434,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.15334,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.295094
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "153079",
      "municipality_name": "聖籠町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Seiro-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 86.0,
      "target_votes": 66.0,
      "votes_delta": -20.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.255814,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.304612,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.016636,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.287976
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151009",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Niigata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7610.055,
      "target_votes": 5800.0,
      "votes_delta": -1810.055,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.785045,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.067613,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.623336,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.444277
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151033",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1925.08,
      "target_votes": 1466.0,
      "votes_delta": -459.08,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -23.847321,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.230865,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.751996,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.478869
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152170",
      "municipality_name": "妙高市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Myoko-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 258.051,
      "target_votes": 196.0,
      "votes_delta": -62.051,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.046022,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.659172,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.337063,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.322109
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152048",
      "municipality_name": "三条市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanjo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 806.051,
      "target_votes": 612.0,
      "votes_delta": -194.051,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.074283,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.6567,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.291766,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.364934
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152188",
      "municipality_name": "五泉市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gosen-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 851.061,
      "target_votes": 645.0,
      "votes_delta": -206.061,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.212248,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.705582,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.919477,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.786105
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "155810",
      "municipality_name": "関川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sekikawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 33.012,
      "target_votes": 25.0,
      "votes_delta": -8.012,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.269962,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.24012,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.952744,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.287376
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151076",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 1611.0,
      "target_votes": 1216.0,
      "votes_delta": -395.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -24.518932,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.162881,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.67318,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.489701
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152250",
      "municipality_name": "魚沼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uonuma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 530.0,
      "target_votes": 395.0,
      "votes_delta": -135.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.471698,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.95594,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.32435,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.63159
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152056",
      "municipality_name": "柏崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiwazaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 864.923,
      "target_votes": 643.0,
      "votes_delta": -221.923,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.658122,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.146371,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.746903,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.399468
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152226",
      "municipality_name": "上越市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joetsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1885.547,
      "target_votes": 1401.0,
      "votes_delta": -484.547,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -25.697954,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.025989,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.601308,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.424681
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "154059",
      "municipality_name": "出雲崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumozaki-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 38.0,
      "target_votes": 28.0,
      "votes_delta": -10.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.315789,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.717126,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.315171,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.401955
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151041",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市江南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konan-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 566.0,
      "target_votes": 417.0,
      "votes_delta": -149.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -26.325088,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.802777,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.365422,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.437355
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151017",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 562.0,
      "target_votes": 395.0,
      "votes_delta": -167.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -29.715302,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.715611,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.241631,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.47398
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "151025",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市東区",
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
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      "jis_code": "151068",
      "municipality_name": "新潟市南区",
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      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152080",
      "municipality_name": "小千谷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ojiya-shi",
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
      "prefecture_name": "新潟県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Niigata",
      "jis_code": "152110",
      "municipality_name": "見附市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsuke-shi",
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      "prefecture_code": "15",
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      "jis_code": "154610",
      "municipality_name": "湯沢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yuzawa-machi",
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  ]
}
