{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "22",
    "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 41,
    "municipality_count": 41,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -23.882744,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 12.570146
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223042",
      "municipality_name": "南伊豆町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minamiizu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 891.0,
      "target_votes": 1003.0,
      "votes_delta": 112.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.570146,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.297297,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.903717,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.60642
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223050",
      "municipality_name": "松崎町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsuzaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 681.0,
      "target_votes": 764.0,
      "votes_delta": 83.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.187959,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.248049,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.514928,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.266879
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222224",
      "municipality_name": "伊豆市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2834.0,
      "target_votes": 3169.0,
      "votes_delta": 335.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.820748,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.955339,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.072856,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.117517
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223018",
      "municipality_name": "東伊豆町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiizu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1159.0,
      "target_votes": 1252.0,
      "votes_delta": 93.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 8.024159,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.859961,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.072293,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.212332
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222089",
      "municipality_name": "伊東市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ito-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6648.0,
      "target_votes": 7013.0,
      "votes_delta": 365.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.490373,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.813218,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.65113,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.837912
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223026",
      "municipality_name": "河津町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawazu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 737.0,
      "target_votes": 770.0,
      "votes_delta": 33.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.477612,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.081741,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.150932,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.069191
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222038",
      "municipality_name": "沼津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Numazu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 19138.0,
      "target_votes": 19812.0,
      "votes_delta": 674.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.521789,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.470617,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.722008,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.251391
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222054",
      "municipality_name": "熱海市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Atami-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3337.0,
      "target_votes": 3449.0,
      "votes_delta": 112.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.356308,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.013325,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.426345,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.41302
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222259",
      "municipality_name": "伊豆の国市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izunokuni-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4217.0,
      "target_votes": 4352.0,
      "votes_delta": 135.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.201328,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.925344,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.688344,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.763
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "224618",
      "municipality_name": "森町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mori-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1755.0,
      "target_votes": 1793.0,
      "votes_delta": 38.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.165242,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.913764,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.323203,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.590561
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222119",
      "municipality_name": "磐田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Iwata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 15354.0,
      "target_votes": 15588.0,
      "votes_delta": 234.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.524033,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.161841,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.244682,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.082841
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223425",
      "municipality_name": "長泉町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagaizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3941.0,
      "target_votes": 3981.0,
      "votes_delta": 40.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.014971,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.860865,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.276559,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.415694
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222160",
      "municipality_name": "袋井市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fukuroi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7359.0,
      "target_votes": 7417.0,
      "votes_delta": 58.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.788151,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.095308,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.268923,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.173615
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223417",
      "municipality_name": "清水町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimizu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3233.0,
      "target_votes": 3232.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.030931,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.766647,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.097634,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.330987
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222194",
      "municipality_name": "下田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimoda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2153.0,
      "target_votes": 2148.0,
      "votes_delta": -5.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.232234,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.664542,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.358696,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.305846
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223069",
      "municipality_name": "西伊豆町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishiizu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 931.0,
      "target_votes": 925.0,
      "votes_delta": -6.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.644468,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.359004,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.081345,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.277659
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222135",
      "municipality_name": "掛川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kakegawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10081.0,
      "target_votes": 9926.0,
      "votes_delta": -155.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.537546,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.403539,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.833144,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.570395
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222143",
      "municipality_name": "藤枝市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujieda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 13923.0,
      "target_votes": 13566.0,
      "votes_delta": -357.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.564103,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.619531,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.24774,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.371791
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221309",
      "municipality_name": "浜松市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hamamatsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 71887.0,
      "target_votes": 67468.0,
      "votes_delta": -4419.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.147148,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.415943,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.1498,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.266143
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222127",
      "municipality_name": "焼津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yaizu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 12352.0,
      "target_votes": 11587.0,
      "votes_delta": -765.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.193329,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.360198,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.525862,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.834336
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "223255",
      "municipality_name": "函南町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kannami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3381.0,
      "target_votes": 3156.0,
      "votes_delta": -225.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.654836,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.647838,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.250945,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.396893
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222232",
      "municipality_name": "御前崎市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Omaezaki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2500.0,
      "target_votes": 2332.0,
      "votes_delta": -168.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.72,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.690033,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.622697,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.067336
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222097",
      "municipality_name": "島田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9145.0,
      "target_votes": 8530.0,
      "votes_delta": -615.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.724986,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.797147,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.740158,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.056989
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222240",
      "municipality_name": "菊川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kikugawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3782.0,
      "target_votes": 3480.0,
      "votes_delta": -302.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.985193,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.983433,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.005174,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.978259
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221015",
      "municipality_name": "静岡市葵開票区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aoi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 21612.0,
      "target_votes": 19839.0,
      "votes_delta": -1773.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.203776,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.630071,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.05715,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.572921
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222062",
      "municipality_name": "三島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mishima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 10879.0,
      "target_votes": 9964.0,
      "votes_delta": -915.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.4107,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.892627,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.640463,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.252164
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221406",
      "municipality_name": "浜松市天竜区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenryu-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 2611.0,
      "target_votes": 2349.0,
      "votes_delta": -262.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.03447,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.199941,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.911447,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.288494
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222267",
      "municipality_name": "牧之原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Makinohara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3520.0,
      "target_votes": 3155.0,
      "votes_delta": -365.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.369318,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.096508,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.933538,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.16297
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221007",
      "municipality_name": "静岡市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shizuoka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 59812.0,
      "target_votes": 53338.0,
      "votes_delta": -6474.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.823915,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.013288,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.755515,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.257773
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221023",
      "municipality_name": "静岡市駿河開票区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Suruga-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 18011.0,
      "target_votes": 15865.0,
      "votes_delta": -2146.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.914941,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.014791,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.653545,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.361246
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222100",
      "municipality_name": "富士市第1開票区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fuji-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 20230.0,
      "target_votes": 17739.0,
      "votes_delta": -2491.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.313396,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.343217,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.144344,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.198873
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "221031",
      "municipality_name": "静岡市清水開票区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimizu-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 20189.0,
      "target_votes": 17634.0,
      "votes_delta": -2555.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.655406,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.439978,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.517886,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.922092
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "22",
      "prefecture_name": "静岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka",
      "jis_code": "222208",
      "municipality_name": "裾野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Susono-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4678.0,
      "target_votes": 4039.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.659684,
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  ]
}
