{ "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1", "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph", "family": "graph", "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026", "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050", "selector": { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "party_id": "JHP", "party_label": "保守", "party_label_en": "Japan Conservative Party", "scope": "prefecture", "ranking_id": "", "ranking_label": "", "ranking_label_en": "" }, "comparison": { "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block", "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc", "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20", "baseline_vote_system": "pr", "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr", "target_election_date": "2026-02-08", "target_vote_system": "block" }, "metric": { "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct", "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率", "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta", "secondary_metric_label": "票数差" }, "summary": { "point_grain": "municipality", "point_count": 41, "municipality_count": 41, "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -60.190951, "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -22.78481 }, "municipalities": [ { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223026", "municipality_name": "河津町", "municipality_name_en": "Kawazu-cho", "baseline_votes": 79.0, "target_votes": 61.0, "votes_delta": -18.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -22.78481, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.474162, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.834035, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.640127 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223042", "municipality_name": "南伊豆町", "municipality_name_en": "Minamiizu-cho", "baseline_votes": 89.0, "target_votes": 62.0, "votes_delta": -27.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.337079, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.227227, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.477598, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.749629 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222224", "municipality_name": "伊豆市", "municipality_name_en": "Izu-shi", "baseline_votes": 478.0, "target_votes": 304.0, "votes_delta": -174.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.401674, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.534457, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.117434, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.417023 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "224294", "municipality_name": "川根本町", "municipality_name_en": "Kawanehon-cho", "baseline_votes": 92.0, "target_votes": 56.0, "votes_delta": -36.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.130435, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.658191, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.580135, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.078056 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223069", "municipality_name": "西伊豆町", "municipality_name_en": "Nishiizu-cho", "baseline_votes": 96.0, "target_votes": 58.0, "votes_delta": -38.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.583333, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.718007, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.572668, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.145339 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222240", "municipality_name": "菊川市", "municipality_name_en": "Kikugawa-shi", "baseline_votes": 795.0, "target_votes": 467.0, "votes_delta": -328.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.257862, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.359817, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.013625, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.346192 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "224618", "municipality_name": "森町", "municipality_name_en": "Mori-machi", "baseline_votes": 255.0, "target_votes": 146.0, "votes_delta": -109.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.745098, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.893453, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.573445, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.320008 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223018", "municipality_name": "東伊豆町", "municipality_name_en": "Higashiizu-cho", "baseline_votes": 171.0, "target_votes": 96.0, "votes_delta": -75.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.859649, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.372781, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.845799, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.526982 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222267", "municipality_name": "牧之原市", "municipality_name_en": "Makinohara-shi", "baseline_votes": 813.0, "target_votes": 455.0, "votes_delta": -358.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.03444, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.94871, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.297864, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.650846 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222160", "municipality_name": "袋井市", "municipality_name_en": "Fukuroi-shi", "baseline_votes": 1763.0, "target_votes": 979.0, "votes_delta": -784.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.469654, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.335104, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.411389, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.923715 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223255", "municipality_name": "函南町", "municipality_name_en": "Kannami-cho", "baseline_votes": 762.0, "target_votes": 423.0, "votes_delta": -339.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.488189, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.428173, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.580212, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.847961 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221015", "municipality_name": "静岡市葵区", "municipality_name_en": "Aoi-ku", "baseline_votes": 5313.0, "target_votes": 2931.0, "votes_delta": -2382.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.833427, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.579936, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.520011, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.059925 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222062", "municipality_name": "三島市", "municipality_name_en": "Mishima-shi", "baseline_votes": 2422.0, "target_votes": 1336.0, "votes_delta": -1086.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.838976, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.651341, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.633446, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.017895 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221023", "municipality_name": "静岡市駿河区", "municipality_name_en": "Suruga-ku", "baseline_votes": 4509.0, "target_votes": 2465.0, "votes_delta": -2044.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.331559, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.760296, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.587519, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.172777 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222135", "municipality_name": "掛川市", "municipality_name_en": "Kakegawa-shi", "baseline_votes": 2243.0, "target_votes": 1222.0, "votes_delta": -1021.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.519394, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.872249, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.072346, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.799903 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222097", "municipality_name": "島田市", "municipality_name_en": "Shimada-shi", "baseline_votes": 2066.0, "target_votes": 1124.0, "votes_delta": -942.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.595353, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.246573, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.337625, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.908948 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "224243", "municipality_name": "吉田町", "municipality_name_en": "Yoshida-cho", "baseline_votes": 579.0, "target_votes": 314.0, "votes_delta": -265.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.768566, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.297165, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.372497, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.924668 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221007", "municipality_name": "静岡市", "municipality_name_en": "Shizuoka-shi", "baseline_votes": 14369.0, "target_votes": 7759.0, "votes_delta": -6610.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.001809, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.567678, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.4374, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.130278 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221406", "municipality_name": "浜松市天竜区", "municipality_name_en": "Tenryu-ku", "baseline_votes": 439.0, "target_votes": 237.0, "votes_delta": -202.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.013667, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.228179, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.706263, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.521916 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223050", "municipality_name": "松崎町", "municipality_name_en": "Matsuzaki-cho", "baseline_votes": 93.0, "target_votes": 50.0, "votes_delta": -43.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.236559, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.901716, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.538935, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.362781 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222194", "municipality_name": "下田市", "municipality_name_en": "Shimoda-shi", "baseline_votes": 348.0, "target_votes": 186.0, "votes_delta": -162.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.551724, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.825016, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.936088, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.888928 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222151", "municipality_name": "御殿場市", "municipality_name_en": "Gotemba-shi", "baseline_votes": 1866.0, "target_votes": 985.0, "votes_delta": -881.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.21329, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.009934, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.787289, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.222645 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222259", "municipality_name": "伊豆の国市", "municipality_name_en": "Izunokuni-shi", "baseline_votes": 868.0, "target_votes": 456.0, "votes_delta": -412.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.465438, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.101304, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.167712, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.933592 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222119", "municipality_name": "磐田市", "municipality_name_en": "Iwata-shi", "baseline_votes": 3602.0, "target_votes": 1883.0, "votes_delta": -1719.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.723487, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.495308, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.32472, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.170588 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222038", "municipality_name": "沼津市", "municipality_name_en": "Numazu-shi", "baseline_votes": 4123.0, "target_votes": 2148.0, "votes_delta": -1975.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.902013, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.840963, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.463501, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.377462 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223425", "municipality_name": "長泉町", "municipality_name_en": "Nagaizumi-cho", "baseline_votes": 1076.0, "target_votes": 560.0, "votes_delta": -516.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.95539, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.876501, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.57093, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.305571 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221031", "municipality_name": "静岡市清水区", "municipality_name_en": "Shimizu-ku", "baseline_votes": 4547.0, "target_votes": 2363.0, "votes_delta": -2184.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.031669, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.378304, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.213438, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.164866 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221309", "municipality_name": "浜松市", "municipality_name_en": "Hamamatsu-shi", "baseline_votes": 18208.0, "target_votes": 9349.0, "votes_delta": -8859.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.654438, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.664508, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.376437, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.288071 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221392", "municipality_name": "浜松市浜名区", "municipality_name_en": "Hamana-ku", "baseline_votes": 3315.0, "target_votes": 1700.0, "votes_delta": -1615.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.717949, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.310177, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.185062, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.125115 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222089", "municipality_name": "伊東市", "municipality_name_en": "Ito-shi", "baseline_votes": 1255.0, "target_votes": 640.0, "votes_delta": -615.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.003984, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.306647, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.24964, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.057007 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222127", "municipality_name": "焼津市", "municipality_name_en": "Yaizu-shi", "baseline_votes": 2873.0, "target_votes": 1464.0, "votes_delta": -1409.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.042812, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.503064, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.340715, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.162349 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222143", "municipality_name": "藤枝市", "municipality_name_en": "Fujieda-shi", "baseline_votes": 3186.0, "target_votes": 1621.0, "votes_delta": -1565.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.121155, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.489537, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.299911, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.189626 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222070", "municipality_name": "富士宮市", "municipality_name_en": "Fujinomiya-shi", "baseline_votes": 2607.0, "target_votes": 1325.0, "votes_delta": -1282.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.175297, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.436163, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.261632, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.174531 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223417", "municipality_name": "清水町", "municipality_name_en": "Shimizu-cho", "baseline_votes": 750.0, "target_votes": 379.0, "votes_delta": -371.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.466667, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.049485, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.591276, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.458209 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222054", "municipality_name": "熱海市", "municipality_name_en": "Atami-shi", "baseline_votes": 652.0, "target_votes": 327.0, "votes_delta": -325.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.846626, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.301075, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.315864, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.985211 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "223441", "municipality_name": "小山町", "municipality_name_en": "Oyama-cho", "baseline_votes": 381.0, "target_votes": 191.0, "votes_delta": -190.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.868766, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.584838, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.497712, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.087126 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222208", "municipality_name": "裾野市", "municipality_name_en": "Susono-shi", "baseline_votes": 1072.0, "target_votes": 531.0, "votes_delta": -541.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.466418, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.461833, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.308194, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.153639 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222216", "municipality_name": "湖西市", "municipality_name_en": "Kosai-shi", "baseline_votes": 1304.0, "target_votes": 640.0, "votes_delta": -664.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.920245, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.517895, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.187286, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.330609 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222100", "municipality_name": "富士市", "municipality_name_en": "Fuji-shi", "baseline_votes": 4925.0, "target_votes": 2388.0, "votes_delta": -2537.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.51269, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.465662, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.442567, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.023095 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "222232", "municipality_name": "御前崎市", "municipality_name_en": "Omaezaki-shi", "baseline_votes": 575.0, "target_votes": 259.0, "votes_delta": -316.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -54.956522, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.838708, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.735111, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.103597 }, { "prefecture_code": "22", "prefecture_name": "静岡県", "prefecture_name_en": "Shizuoka", "jis_code": "221384", "municipality_name": "浜松市中央区", "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku", "baseline_votes": 14454.0, "target_votes": 5754.0, "votes_delta": -8700.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -60.190951, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.820539, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.510898, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.309641 } ] }