{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "27",
    "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 74,
    "municipality_count": 74,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -39.086234,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -7.715303
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271098",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 天王寺区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tennoji-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4495.87,
      "target_votes": 4149.0,
      "votes_delta": -346.87,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.715303,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.915485,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.313455,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.60203
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271195",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 阿倍野区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Abeno-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 6805.121,
      "target_votes": 6278.0,
      "votes_delta": -527.121,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -7.745946,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.692246,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.327018,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.365228
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271284",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4940.34,
      "target_votes": 4512.0,
      "votes_delta": -428.34,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.670253,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.017688,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.674755,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.342933
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271063",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 5324.244,
      "target_votes": 4785.0,
      "votes_delta": -539.244,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.128086,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.011365,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.691532,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.319833
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271276",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 7496.577,
      "target_votes": 6729.0,
      "votes_delta": -767.577,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.239033,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.578972,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.001189,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.577783
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271160",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 生野区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikuno-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 7778.54,
      "target_votes": 6934.0,
      "votes_delta": -844.54,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.857307,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.778559,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.091527,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.687032
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271110",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 浪速区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naniwa-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 3046.166,
      "target_votes": 2709.0,
      "votes_delta": -337.166,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.068537,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.752819,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.133486,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.380667
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272159",
      "municipality_name": "寝屋川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Neyagawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 20633.399,
      "target_votes": 18101.0,
      "votes_delta": -2532.399,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.2733,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.119693,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.485341,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.634352
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273813",
      "municipality_name": "太子町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Taishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 914.443,
      "target_votes": 802.0,
      "votes_delta": -112.443,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.296338,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.092309,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.070405,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.021904
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272302",
      "municipality_name": "交野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7950.236,
      "target_votes": 6940.0,
      "votes_delta": -1010.236,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.706994,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.267694,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.198652,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.069042
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271187",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 城東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joto-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 12190.106,
      "target_votes": 10621.0,
      "votes_delta": -1569.106,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.871964,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.002281,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.671805,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.330476
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271209",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 住吉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sumiyoshi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 12572.046,
      "target_votes": 10950.0,
      "votes_delta": -1622.046,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.902005,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.850575,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.607629,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.242946
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272078",
      "municipality_name": "高槻市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takatsuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 33050.774,
      "target_votes": 28740.0,
      "votes_delta": -4310.774,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.042884,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.481465,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.280981,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.200484
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271250",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 住之江区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Suminoe-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 10603.287,
      "target_votes": 9189.0,
      "votes_delta": -1414.287,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.338194,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.417118,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.983643,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.433475
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271039",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 福島区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fukushima-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 4301.619,
      "target_votes": 3712.0,
      "votes_delta": -589.619,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.706909,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.368345,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.358376,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.009969
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273015",
      "municipality_name": "島本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimamoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2913.363,
      "target_votes": 2511.0,
      "votes_delta": -402.363,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.810946,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.646837,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.121022,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.525815
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271179",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 旭区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asahi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 8183.923,
      "target_votes": 7053.0,
      "votes_delta": -1130.923,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.818837,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.812822,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.400418,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.412404
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271004",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Osaka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 200501.601,
      "target_votes": 172521.0,
      "votes_delta": -27980.601,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.955301,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.249983,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.964902,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.285081
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271047",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 此花区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konohana-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 5362.623,
      "target_votes": 4611.0,
      "votes_delta": -751.623,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.015958,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.892706,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.167601,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.725105
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272299",
      "municipality_name": "四條畷市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shijonawate-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4285.524,
      "target_votes": 3676.0,
      "votes_delta": -609.524,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.222858,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.395761,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.794543,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.601218
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272108",
      "municipality_name": "枚方市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hirakata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 35730.939,
      "target_votes": 30623.0,
      "votes_delta": -5107.939,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.295563,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.124928,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.94815,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.176778
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272183",
      "municipality_name": "大東市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Daito-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9705.368,
      "target_votes": 8315.0,
      "votes_delta": -1390.368,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.325763,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.429547,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.369722,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.059825
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271071",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 港区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minato-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 6861.915,
      "target_votes": 5874.0,
      "votes_delta": -987.915,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.397074,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.019261,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.54881,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.470451
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272035",
      "municipality_name": "豊中市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Toyonaka-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 32140.466,
      "target_votes": 27470.0,
      "votes_delta": -4670.466,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.53142,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.658188,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.766318,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.89187
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271217",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 東住吉区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashisumiyoshi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 9953.979,
      "target_votes": 8497.0,
      "votes_delta": -1456.979,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.637152,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.713915,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.310737,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.403178
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272205",
      "municipality_name": "箕面市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minoh-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9580.072,
      "target_votes": 8141.0,
      "votes_delta": -1439.072,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.021515,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.390836,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.709289,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.681547
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271411",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 堺区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakai-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 12921.25,
      "target_votes": 10953.0,
      "votes_delta": -1968.25,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.232659,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.578895,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.607281,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.971614
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271268",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 平野区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hirano-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 17986.499,
      "target_votes": 15238.0,
      "votes_delta": -2748.499,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.2809,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.850044,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.928252,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.921792
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271225",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 西成区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishinari-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 8169.848,
      "target_votes": 6918.0,
      "votes_delta": -1251.848,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.322782,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.584666,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.915076,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.66959
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271462",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 14060.67,
      "target_votes": 11902.0,
      "votes_delta": -2158.67,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.35254,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.946202,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.071188,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.875014
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271438",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 8021.361,
      "target_votes": 6782.0,
      "votes_delta": -1239.361,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.450757,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.105757,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.06507,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.040687
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272256",
      "municipality_name": "高石市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takaishi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4044.089,
      "target_votes": 3407.0,
      "votes_delta": -637.089,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.753585,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.284515,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.673909,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.610606
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272221",
      "municipality_name": "羽曳野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Habikino-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7940.633,
      "target_votes": 6687.0,
      "votes_delta": -1253.633,
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}
