{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "27",
    "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
    "party_id": "SDP",
    "party_label": "社民",
    "party_label_en": "Social Democratic Party",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 74,
    "municipality_count": 74,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -57.241379,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -11.864407
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273228",
      "municipality_name": "能勢町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nose-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 118.0,
      "target_votes": 104.0,
      "votes_delta": -14.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.864407,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.612353,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.321947,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.290406
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272205",
      "municipality_name": "箕面市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minoh-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1244.0,
      "target_votes": 1094.0,
      "votes_delta": -150.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -12.057878,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.738839,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.573512,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.165327
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272116",
      "municipality_name": "茨木市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ibaraki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2480.4,
      "target_votes": 2087.0,
      "votes_delta": -393.4,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.860345,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.759087,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.516836,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.242251
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273210",
      "municipality_name": "豊能町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Toyono-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 223.367,
      "target_votes": 177.0,
      "votes_delta": -46.367,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -20.758214,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.061342,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.739387,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.321955
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271241",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 鶴見区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsurumi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 462.332,
      "target_votes": 304.0,
      "votes_delta": -158.332,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -34.246386,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.843764,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.586839,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.256925
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272264",
      "municipality_name": "藤井寺市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Fujiidera-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 315.0,
      "target_votes": 204.0,
      "votes_delta": -111.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.238095,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.054499,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.7109,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.343599
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273414",
      "municipality_name": "忠岡町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tadaoka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 37.259,
      "target_votes": 24.0,
      "votes_delta": -13.259,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.586033,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.514343,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.3432,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.171143
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273660",
      "municipality_name": "岬町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Misaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 83.0,
      "target_votes": 53.0,
      "votes_delta": -30.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.144578,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.079043,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.685818,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.393225
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272213",
      "municipality_name": "柏原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiwara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 310.0,
      "target_votes": 197.0,
      "votes_delta": -113.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.451613,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.955876,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.637871,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.318005
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272183",
      "municipality_name": "大東市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Daito-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 491.938,
      "target_votes": 308.0,
      "votes_delta": -183.938,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.390484,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.934142,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.606359,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.327783
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272302",
      "municipality_name": "交野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 501.327,
      "target_votes": 311.0,
      "votes_delta": -190.327,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.964642,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.214985,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.770718,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.444267
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271179",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 旭区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asahi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 532.807,
      "target_votes": 330.0,
      "votes_delta": -202.807,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.063877,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.159688,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.767353,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.392335
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272132",
      "municipality_name": "泉佐野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumisano-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 382.381,
      "target_votes": 233.0,
      "votes_delta": -149.381,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -39.06601,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.864959,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.536162,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.328797
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272329",
      "municipality_name": "阪南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hannan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 224.0,
      "target_votes": 134.0,
      "votes_delta": -90.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.178571,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.946026,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.568543,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.377483
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271152",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 東成区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashinari-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 460.349,
      "target_votes": 274.0,
      "votes_delta": -186.349,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.47994,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.098606,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.710102,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.388504
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272108",
      "municipality_name": "枚方市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hirakata-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2488.793,
      "target_votes": 1478.0,
      "votes_delta": -1010.793,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.613783,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.262469,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.769728,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.492741
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272078",
      "municipality_name": "高槻市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Takatsuki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2922.46,
      "target_votes": 1726.0,
      "votes_delta": -1196.46,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.940167,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.634193,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.977765,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.656428
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272248",
      "municipality_name": "摂津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Settsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 403.0,
      "target_votes": 238.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.942928,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.005765,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.621021,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.384744
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271462",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 北区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kita-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 889.0,
      "target_votes": 523.0,
      "votes_delta": -366.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.169854,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.134667,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.706203,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.428464
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272051",
      "municipality_name": "吹田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Suita-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2754.4,
      "target_votes": 1604.0,
      "votes_delta": -1150.4,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.765902,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.362903,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.826459,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.536444
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271454",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 南区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 888.338,
      "target_votes": 517.0,
      "votes_delta": -371.338,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.801431,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.360187,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.836448,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.523739
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272310",
      "municipality_name": "大阪狭山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Osakasayama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 315.0,
      "target_votes": 182.0,
      "votes_delta": -133.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.222222,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.10978,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.677285,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.432495
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272230",
      "municipality_name": "門真市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kadoma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 393.877,
      "target_votes": 227.0,
      "votes_delta": -166.877,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.367795,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.744006,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.473518,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.270488
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272140",
      "municipality_name": "富田林市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tondabayashi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 625.393,
      "target_votes": 360.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.436196,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.229032,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.74599,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.483042
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272060",
      "municipality_name": "泉大津市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumiotsu-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 278.0,
      "target_votes": 160.0,
      "votes_delta": -118.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.817791,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.493431,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.32436
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273015",
      "municipality_name": "島本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimamoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 348.0,
      "target_votes": 200.0,
      "votes_delta": -148.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.528736,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.988458,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.124733,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.863725
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272094",
      "municipality_name": "守口市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Moriguchi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 630.944,
      "target_votes": 362.0,
      "votes_delta": -268.944,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.625653,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.917763,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.555837,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.361926
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272175",
      "municipality_name": "松原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsubara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 505.303,
      "target_votes": 289.0,
      "votes_delta": -216.303,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.806593,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.971699,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.578845,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.392854
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271063",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 西区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 537.0,
      "target_votes": 304.0,
      "votes_delta": -233.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.389199,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.00974,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.615721,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.394019
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271470",
      "municipality_name": "堺市 美原区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mihara-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 161.0,
      "target_votes": 91.0,
      "votes_delta": -70.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.478261,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.962919,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.585247,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.377672
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272124",
      "municipality_name": "八尾市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yao-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1122.166,
      "target_votes": 625.0,
      "votes_delta": -497.166,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.30414,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.925055,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.539887,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.385168
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271047",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 此花区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Konohana-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 279.312,
      "target_votes": 155.0,
      "votes_delta": -124.312,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.506502,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.931941,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.543478,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.388463
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271403",
      "municipality_name": "堺市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4189.314,
      "target_votes": 2295.0,
      "votes_delta": -1894.314,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -45.217761,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.08514,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.630129,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.455011
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271136",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 西淀川区",
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      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271187",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 城東区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Joto-ku",
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      "votes_delta": -593.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.993744,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.28535,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.627565,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.657785
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "272027",
      "municipality_name": "岸和田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kishiwada-shi",
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.885026,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.452725
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271284",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 中央区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chuo-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 655.0,
      "target_votes": 297.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.195583,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.571011,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.624572
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "273627",
      "municipality_name": "田尻町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tajiri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 45.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.555556,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.010555,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.510204,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.500351
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "27",
      "prefecture_name": "大阪府",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Osaka",
      "jis_code": "271110",
      "municipality_name": "大阪市 浪速区",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naniwa-ku",
      "baseline_votes": 290.0,
      "target_votes": 124.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.241379,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.023686,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.509617,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.514069
    }
  ]
}
