{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "29",
    "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
    "party_id": "ISH",
    "party_label": "維新",
    "party_label_en": "Japan Innovation Party (Ishin)",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 39,
    "municipality_count": 39,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -17.880795,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 215.384615
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294519",
      "municipality_name": "上北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 13.0,
      "target_votes": 41.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 215.384615,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.40678,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.909091,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 10.502311
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294500",
      "municipality_name": "下北山村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimokitayama-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 53.0,
      "target_votes": 85.0,
      "votes_delta": 32.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 60.377358,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.70696,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.260323,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.553363
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293865",
      "municipality_name": "御杖村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mitsue-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 58.0,
      "target_votes": 90.0,
      "votes_delta": 32.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 55.172414,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.169345,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.166253,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.996908
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294462",
      "municipality_name": "天川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenkawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 58.0,
      "target_votes": 86.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 48.275862,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.309456,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.011173,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.701717
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294527",
      "municipality_name": "川上村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawakami-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 84.0,
      "target_votes": 119.0,
      "votes_delta": 35.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 41.666667,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.687023,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.719947,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.032924
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294411",
      "municipality_name": "吉野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshino-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 383.714,
      "target_votes": 509.0,
      "votes_delta": 125.286,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 32.650881,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.315659,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.84315,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.527491
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294420",
      "municipality_name": "大淀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oyodo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1020.75,
      "target_votes": 1300.0,
      "votes_delta": 279.25,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 27.357335,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.521467,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.51683,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.995363
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294470",
      "municipality_name": "野迫川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nosegawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 17.0,
      "target_votes": 21.0,
      "votes_delta": 4.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 23.529412,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.133971,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.344828,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.210857
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294497",
      "municipality_name": "十津川村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Totsukawa-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 113.0,
      "target_votes": 135.0,
      "votes_delta": 22.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 19.469027,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.427759,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.763082,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.335323
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292079",
      "municipality_name": "五條市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gojo-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1361.28,
      "target_votes": 1589.0,
      "votes_delta": 227.72,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 16.728373,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.055252,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.723476,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.668224
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294535",
      "municipality_name": "東吉野村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashiyoshino-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 102.0,
      "target_votes": 118.0,
      "votes_delta": 16.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.686275,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.029499,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.06544,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.035941
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294438",
      "municipality_name": "下市町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shimoichi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 285.0,
      "target_votes": 328.0,
      "votes_delta": 43.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.087719,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.927914,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.659205,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.731291
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293628",
      "municipality_name": "三宅町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyake-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 389.428,
      "target_votes": 445.0,
      "votes_delta": 55.572,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 14.27016,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.131713,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.367378,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.235665
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294250",
      "municipality_name": "王寺町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Oji-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2131.896,
      "target_votes": 2421.0,
      "votes_delta": 289.104,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 13.560887,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.281907,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.171682,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.889775
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292044",
      "municipality_name": "天理市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tenri-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3644.964,
      "target_votes": 4085.0,
      "votes_delta": 440.036,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.072437,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.957568,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.137883,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.180315
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294020",
      "municipality_name": "明日香村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Asuka-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 361.0,
      "target_votes": 404.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.911357,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.724709,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.644039,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.91933
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292109",
      "municipality_name": "香芝市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashiba-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6404.819,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.416107,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.983504,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.544699,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.561195
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292052",
      "municipality_name": "橿原市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashihara-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 7759.499,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.780348,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.690979,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.959191,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.268212
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292036",
      "municipality_name": "大和郡山市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatokoriyama-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6198.103,
      "target_votes": 6809.0,
      "votes_delta": 610.897,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.575863,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.085139,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.509276
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292087",
      "municipality_name": "御所市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Gose-shi",
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 9.825945,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.205911
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      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294268",
      "municipality_name": "広陵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Koryo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2730.0,
      "target_votes": 2983.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 9.267399,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.02677,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.574985,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.548215
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294276",
      "municipality_name": "河合町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawai-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1640.361,
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      "votes_delta": 141.639,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 8.634624,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.121531,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.210867,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.089336
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "294241",
      "municipality_name": "上牧町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kammaki-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1832.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.062494,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.886765,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.824271
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293610",
      "municipality_name": "川西町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kawanishi-cho",
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.48,
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    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293431",
      "municipality_name": "三郷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sango-cho",
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      "votes_delta": 132.61,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.820134,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.811508,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.77936
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      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292060",
      "municipality_name": "桜井市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sakurai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3538.0,
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      "votes_delta": 181.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.115885,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.564894,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.786026
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292028",
      "municipality_name": "大和高田市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yamatotakada-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4489.0,
      "target_votes": 4703.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.865715,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.858123
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293423",
      "municipality_name": "平群町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Heguri-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1778.0,
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      "votes_delta": 68.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.824522,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.55876,
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      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.401933
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    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292117",
      "municipality_name": "葛城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2720.954,
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      "votes_delta": 102.046,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.750376,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.68484,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.504174,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.819334
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "292125",
      "municipality_name": "宇陀市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uda-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1818.046,
      "target_votes": 1885.0,
      "votes_delta": 66.954,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.682745,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.818487,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.370691,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.552204
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293636",
      "municipality_name": "田原本町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tawaramoto-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2255.0,
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      "votes_delta": 83.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.68071,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.534322,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.75265,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.218328
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293440",
      "municipality_name": "斑鳩町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ikaruga-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2537.352,
      "target_votes": 2596.0,
      "votes_delta": 58.648,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.311386,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.58143,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.671886,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.090456
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293458",
      "municipality_name": "安堵町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ando-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 525.0,
      "target_votes": 536.0,
      "votes_delta": 11.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.095238,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.972011,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 15.460052,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.511959
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "29",
      "prefecture_name": "奈良県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Nara",
      "jis_code": "293857",
      "municipality_name": "曽爾村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Soni-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 76.0,
      "target_votes": 77.0,
      "votes_delta": 1.0,
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  ]
}
