{ "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1", "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph", "family": "graph", "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026", "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050", "selector": { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "party_id": "SDP", "party_label": "社民", "party_label_en": "Social Democratic Party", "scope": "prefecture", "ranking_id": "", "ranking_label": "", "ranking_label_en": "" }, "comparison": { "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block", "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc", "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20", "baseline_vote_system": "pr", "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr", "target_election_date": "2026-02-08", "target_vote_system": "block" }, "metric": { "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct", "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率", "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta", "secondary_metric_label": "票数差" }, "summary": { "point_grain": "municipality", "point_count": 39, "municipality_count": 39, "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -49.539434, "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -5.555556 }, "municipalities": [ { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294020", "municipality_name": "明日香村", "municipality_name_en": "Asuka-mura", "baseline_votes": 36.0, "target_votes": 34.0, "votes_delta": -2.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.555556, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.268946, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.148261, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.120685 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294438", "municipality_name": "下市町", "municipality_name_en": "Shimoichi-cho", "baseline_votes": 26.0, "target_votes": 22.0, "votes_delta": -4.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.384615, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.996933, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.849093, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.14784 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293458", "municipality_name": "安堵町", "municipality_name_en": "Ando-cho", "baseline_votes": 32.0, "target_votes": 23.0, "votes_delta": -9.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -28.125, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.973532, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.663398, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.310134 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293636", "municipality_name": "田原本町", "municipality_name_en": "Tawaramoto-cho", "baseline_votes": 165.0, "target_votes": 115.0, "votes_delta": -50.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -30.30303, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.063487, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.725644, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.337843 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294276", "municipality_name": "河合町", "municipality_name_en": "Kawai-cho", "baseline_votes": 146.638, "target_votes": 99.0, "votes_delta": -47.638, "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.486804, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.619951, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.06727, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.552681 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294268", "municipality_name": "広陵町", "municipality_name_en": "Koryo-cho", "baseline_votes": 203.0, "target_votes": 137.0, "votes_delta": -66.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -32.512315, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.191734, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.761238, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.430496 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293431", "municipality_name": "三郷町", "municipality_name_en": "Sango-cho", "baseline_votes": 208.575, "target_votes": 135.0, "votes_delta": -73.575, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.275081, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.827041, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.157705, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.669336 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294411", "municipality_name": "吉野町", "municipality_name_en": "Yoshino-cho", "baseline_votes": 28.0, "target_votes": 18.0, "votes_delta": -10.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.714286, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.825715, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.595632, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.230083 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292036", "municipality_name": "大和郡山市", "municipality_name_en": "Yamatokoriyama-shi", "baseline_votes": 570.0, "target_votes": 366.0, "votes_delta": -204.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -35.789474, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.432413, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.864615, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.567798 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294241", "municipality_name": "上牧町", "municipality_name_en": "Kammaki-cho", "baseline_votes": 156.0, "target_votes": 99.0, "votes_delta": -57.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -36.538462, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.45292, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.892535, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.560385 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294420", "municipality_name": "大淀町", "municipality_name_en": "Oyodo-cho", "baseline_votes": 90.0, "target_votes": 56.0, "votes_delta": -34.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.777778, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.104024, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.668417, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.435607 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292060", "municipality_name": "桜井市", "municipality_name_en": "Sakurai-shi", "baseline_votes": 330.0, "target_votes": 205.0, "votes_delta": -125.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -37.878788, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.285197, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.802851, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.482346 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292044", "municipality_name": "天理市", "municipality_name_en": "Tenri-shi", "baseline_votes": 373.035, "target_votes": 230.0, "votes_delta": -143.035, "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.343587, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.326111, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.796013, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.530098 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294012", "municipality_name": "高取町", "municipality_name_en": "Takatori-cho", "baseline_votes": 35.0, "target_votes": 21.0, "votes_delta": -14.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.0, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.122514, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.640635, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.481879 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292052", "municipality_name": "橿原市", "municipality_name_en": "Kashihara-shi", "baseline_votes": 790.468, "target_votes": 472.0, "votes_delta": -318.468, "votes_change_rate_pct": -40.288538, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.394714, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.821398, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.573316 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293423", "municipality_name": "平群町", "municipality_name_en": "Heguri-cho", "baseline_votes": 131.0, "target_votes": 76.0, "votes_delta": -55.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -41.984733, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.293699, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.739443, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.554256 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292028", "municipality_name": "大和高田市", "municipality_name_en": "Yamatotakada-shi", "baseline_votes": 347.0, "target_votes": 198.0, "votes_delta": -149.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -42.939481, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.149121, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.661986, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.487135 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293610", "municipality_name": "川西町", "municipality_name_en": "Kawanishi-cho", "baseline_votes": 51.0, "target_votes": 27.0, "votes_delta": -24.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.058824, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.235166, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.617143, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.618023 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294250", "municipality_name": "王寺町", "municipality_name_en": "Oji-cho", "baseline_votes": 157.0, "target_votes": 81.0, "votes_delta": -76.0, "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.407643, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.272698, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.641432, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.631266 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292010", "municipality_name": "奈良市", "municipality_name_en": "Nara-shi", "baseline_votes": 3083.596, "target_votes": 1556.0, "votes_delta": -1527.596, "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.539434, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.689382, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.855796, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.833586 }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294446", "municipality_name": "黒滝村", "municipality_name_en": "Kurotaki-mura", "baseline_votes": 1.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.26738, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292109", "municipality_name": "香芝市", "municipality_name_en": "Kashiba-shi", "baseline_votes": 440.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.166737, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294470", "municipality_name": "野迫川村", "municipality_name_en": "Nosegawa-mura", "baseline_votes": 4.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.913876, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292117", "municipality_name": "葛城市", "municipality_name_en": "Katsuragi-shi", "baseline_votes": 195.883, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.05717, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292095", "municipality_name": "生駒市", "municipality_name_en": "Ikoma-shi", "baseline_votes": 890.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.411892, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294535", "municipality_name": "東吉野村", "municipality_name_en": "Higashiyoshino-mura", "baseline_votes": 11.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.081613, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293857", "municipality_name": "曽爾村", "municipality_name_en": "Soni-mura", "baseline_votes": 13.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.679587, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293440", "municipality_name": "斑鳩町", "municipality_name_en": "Ikaruga-cho", "baseline_votes": 203.647, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.41108, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293865", "municipality_name": "御杖村", "municipality_name_en": "Mitsue-mura", "baseline_votes": 10.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.236094, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292087", "municipality_name": "御所市", "municipality_name_en": "Gose-shi", "baseline_votes": 214.459, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.988862, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294527", "municipality_name": "川上村", "municipality_name_en": "Kawakami-mura", "baseline_votes": 5.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.636132, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293229", "municipality_name": "山添村", "municipality_name_en": "Yamazoe-mura", "baseline_votes": 30.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.494024, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292125", "municipality_name": "宇陀市", "municipality_name_en": "Uda-shi", "baseline_votes": 267.771, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.887972, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294462", "municipality_name": "天川村", "municipality_name_en": "Tenkawa-mura", "baseline_votes": 6.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.859599, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294497", "municipality_name": "十津川村", "municipality_name_en": "Totsukawa-mura", "baseline_votes": 15.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.853242, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "292079", "municipality_name": "五條市", "municipality_name_en": "Gojo-shi", "baseline_votes": 140.607, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.03861, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294500", "municipality_name": "下北山村", "municipality_name_en": "Shimokitayama-mura", "baseline_votes": 10.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.831502, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "294519", "municipality_name": "上北山村", "municipality_name_en": "Kamikitayama-mura", "baseline_votes": 2.0, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 0.677966, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null }, { "prefecture_code": "29", "prefecture_name": "奈良県", "prefecture_name_en": "Nara", "jis_code": "293628", "municipality_name": "三宅町", "municipality_name_en": "Miyake-cho", "baseline_votes": 44.571, "target_votes": null, "votes_delta": null, "votes_change_rate_pct": null, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 1.388505, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": null, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": null } ] }