{ "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1", "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph", "family": "graph", "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026", "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050", "selector": { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "party_id": "CDR_TJU", "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）", "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)", "scope": "prefecture", "ranking_id": "", "ranking_label": "", "ranking_label_en": "" }, "comparison": { "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block", "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc", "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20", "baseline_vote_system": "pr", "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr", "target_election_date": "2026-02-08", "target_vote_system": "block" }, "metric": { "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct", "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率", "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta", "secondary_metric_label": "票数差" }, "summary": { "point_grain": "municipality", "point_count": 31, "municipality_count": 31, "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -15.519114, "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 22.274551 }, "municipalities": [ { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343684", "municipality_name": "安芸太田町", "municipality_name_en": "Akiota-cho", "baseline_votes": 655.901, "target_votes": 802.0, "votes_delta": 146.099, "votes_change_rate_pct": 22.274551, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.294391, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.329212, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 6.034821 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "345458", "municipality_name": "神石高原町", "municipality_name_en": "Jinsekikogen-cho", "baseline_votes": 1034.341, "target_votes": 1220.0, "votes_delta": 185.659, "votes_change_rate_pct": 17.949496, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.560378, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.317881, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.757503 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342106", "municipality_name": "庄原市", "municipality_name_en": "Shobara-shi", "baseline_votes": 3800.736, "target_votes": 4414.0, "votes_delta": 613.264, "votes_change_rate_pct": 16.135401, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.524042, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.908245, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.384203 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "344621", "municipality_name": "世羅町", "municipality_name_en": "Sera-cho", "baseline_votes": 1633.588, "target_votes": 1851.0, "votes_delta": 217.412, "votes_change_rate_pct": 13.308864, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.450876, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.552862, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.101986 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343692", "municipality_name": "北広島町", "municipality_name_en": "Kitahiroshima-cho", "baseline_votes": 1987.496, "target_votes": 2202.0, "votes_delta": 214.504, "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.792676, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.512778, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.51812, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.005342 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341070", "municipality_name": "安芸区", "municipality_name_en": "Aki-ku", "baseline_votes": 6073.468, "target_votes": 6422.0, "votes_delta": 348.532, "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.738599, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.185229, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.297837, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.112608 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342149", "municipality_name": "安芸高田市", "municipality_name_en": "Akitakata-shi", "baseline_votes": 3352.588, "target_votes": 3520.0, "votes_delta": 167.412, "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.993515, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.566701, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 31.425766, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.859065 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342050", "municipality_name": "尾道市", "municipality_name_en": "Onomichi-shi", "baseline_votes": 14070.643, "target_votes": 14677.0, "votes_delta": 606.357, "votes_change_rate_pct": 4.309377, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.420757, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.689336, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.268579 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342084", "municipality_name": "府中市", "municipality_name_en": "Fuchu-shi", "baseline_votes": 3777.542, "target_votes": 3896.0, "votes_delta": 118.458, "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.135849, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.030165, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.3698, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.339635 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341061", "municipality_name": "安佐北区", "municipality_name_en": "Asakita-ku", "baseline_votes": 15009.306, "target_votes": 15242.0, "votes_delta": 232.694, "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.550332, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.501743, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.195877, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.694134 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342092", "municipality_name": "三次市", "municipality_name_en": "Miyoshi-shi", "baseline_votes": 6359.961, "target_votes": 6449.0, "votes_delta": 89.039, "votes_change_rate_pct": 1.399993, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.445566, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.391122, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.945556 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342041", "municipality_name": "三原市", "municipality_name_en": "Mihara-shi", "baseline_votes": 9451.577, "target_votes": 9523.0, "votes_delta": 71.423, "votes_change_rate_pct": 0.755673, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.377448, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.147721, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.770273 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341010", "municipality_name": "広島市中区", "municipality_name_en": "Naka-ku", "baseline_votes": 10737.49, "target_votes": 10719.0, "votes_delta": -18.49, "votes_change_rate_pct": -0.1722, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.730041, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.302675, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.572634 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343099", "municipality_name": "坂町", "municipality_name_en": "Saka-cho", "baseline_votes": 1074.843, "target_votes": 1053.0, "votes_delta": -21.843, "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.032204, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.451583, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.024649, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.573066 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342157", "municipality_name": "江田島市", "municipality_name_en": "Etajima-shi", "baseline_votes": 1812.696, "target_votes": 1765.0, "votes_delta": -47.696, "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.631219, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.273748, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.083144, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.190604 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341037", "municipality_name": "南区", "municipality_name_en": "Minami-ku", "baseline_votes": 11393.911, "target_votes": 11054.0, "votes_delta": -339.911, "votes_change_rate_pct": -2.983269, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.013519, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.642128, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.628609 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341029", "municipality_name": "東区", "municipality_name_en": "Higashi-ku", "baseline_votes": 10578.27, "target_votes": 10156.0, "votes_delta": -422.27, "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.991863, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.54432, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.359209, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.814889 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343021", "municipality_name": "府中町", "municipality_name_en": "Fuchu-cho", "baseline_votes": 4753.567, "target_votes": 4558.0, "votes_delta": -195.567, "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.114111, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.380165, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.99977, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.619605 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341002", "municipality_name": "広島市", "municipality_name_en": "Hiroshima-shi", "baseline_votes": 103802.388, "target_votes": 99418.0, "votes_delta": -4384.388, "votes_change_rate_pct": -4.223783, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.209407, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.87872, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.669313 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342076", "municipality_name": "福山市", "municipality_name_en": "Fukuyama-shi", "baseline_votes": 46267.262, "target_votes": 43676.0, "votes_delta": -2591.262, "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.600638, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.599255, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.209704, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.389551 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341053", "municipality_name": "安佐南区", "municipality_name_en": "Asaminami-ku", "baseline_votes": 22746.235, "target_votes": 21455.0, "votes_delta": -1291.235, "votes_change_rate_pct": -5.676698, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.635676, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.077088, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.441412 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "344311", "municipality_name": "大崎上島町", "municipality_name_en": "Osakikamijima-cho", "baseline_votes": 565.796, "target_votes": 528.0, "votes_delta": -37.796, "votes_change_rate_pct": -6.680146, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.276214, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.912235, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.363979 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342130", "municipality_name": "廿日市市", "municipality_name_en": "Hatsukaichi-shi", "baseline_votes": 11286.766, "target_votes": 10376.0, "votes_delta": -910.766, "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.069327, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.328784, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.100582, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.228202 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342033", "municipality_name": "竹原市", "municipality_name_en": "Takehara-shi", "baseline_votes": 2441.608, "target_votes": 2239.0, "votes_delta": -202.608, "votes_change_rate_pct": -8.298138, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.535839, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.893028, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.642811 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341045", "municipality_name": "西区", "municipality_name_en": "Nishi-ku", "baseline_votes": 15033.733, "target_votes": 13556.0, "votes_delta": -1477.733, "votes_change_rate_pct": -9.829448, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.280762, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.697931, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.417169 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343072", "municipality_name": "熊野町", "municipality_name_en": "Kumano-cho", "baseline_votes": 2308.416, "target_votes": 2061.0, "votes_delta": -247.416, "votes_change_rate_pct": -10.717999, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.087992, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.95577, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.132222 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342114", "municipality_name": "大竹市", "municipality_name_en": "Otake-shi", "baseline_votes": 2625.411, "target_votes": 2329.0, "votes_delta": -296.411, "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.29008, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.849293, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.134301, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.714992 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "341088", "municipality_name": "佐伯区", "municipality_name_en": "Saeki-ku", "baseline_votes": 12229.975, "target_votes": 10814.0, "votes_delta": -1415.975, "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.577906, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.232559, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.238809, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.00625 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "343048", "municipality_name": "海田町", "municipality_name_en": "Kaita-cho", "baseline_votes": 2428.8, "target_votes": 2112.0, "votes_delta": -316.8, "votes_change_rate_pct": -13.043478, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.098361, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.432934, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.665427 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342025", "municipality_name": "呉市", "municipality_name_en": "Kure-shi", "baseline_votes": 20142.782, "target_votes": 17076.0, "votes_delta": -3066.782, "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.225216, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.164884, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.806298, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.358586 }, { "prefecture_code": "34", "prefecture_name": "広島県", "prefecture_name_en": "Hiroshima", "jis_code": "342122", "municipality_name": "東広島市", "municipality_name_en": "Higashihiroshima-shi", "baseline_votes": 15837.902, "target_votes": 13380.0, "votes_delta": -2457.902, "votes_change_rate_pct": -15.519114, "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.338098, "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.464171, "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.873927 } ] }