{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "36",
    "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
    "party_id": "DPP",
    "party_label": "国民",
    "party_label_en": "Democratic Party for the People",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 24,
    "municipality_count": 24,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -18.723402,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 77.605554
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363022",
      "municipality_name": "上勝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikatsu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 37.161,
      "target_votes": 66.0,
      "votes_delta": 28.839,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 77.605554,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.241326,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.004093,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.762767
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363685",
      "municipality_name": "那賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 208.143,
      "target_votes": 313.0,
      "votes_delta": 104.857,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 50.377385,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.967403,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.258575,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.291172
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362085",
      "municipality_name": "三好市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 927.094,
      "target_votes": 1358.0,
      "votes_delta": 430.906,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 46.479214,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.911708,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.714976,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.803268
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364681",
      "municipality_name": "つるぎ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsurugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 283.833,
      "target_votes": 413.0,
      "votes_delta": 129.167,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 45.508098,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.673236,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.41089,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.737654
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363219",
      "municipality_name": "佐那河内村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanagouchi-son",
      "baseline_votes": 68.685,
      "target_votes": 95.0,
      "votes_delta": 26.315,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 38.312586,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.232759,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.050847,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.818088
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362077",
      "municipality_name": "美馬市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1218.559,
      "target_votes": 1560.0,
      "votes_delta": 341.441,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 28.020063,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.738095,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.572534,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.834439
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364053",
      "municipality_name": "上板町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiita-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 477.535,
      "target_votes": 601.0,
      "votes_delta": 123.465,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 25.854649,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.018343,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.318098,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.299755
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363880",
      "municipality_name": "海陽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaiyo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 243.296,
      "target_votes": 300.0,
      "votes_delta": 56.704,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 23.30659,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.285094,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.006072,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.720978
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363421",
      "municipality_name": "神山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 139.09,
      "target_votes": 169.0,
      "votes_delta": 29.91,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 21.504062,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.103677,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.534552,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.430875
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362069",
      "municipality_name": "阿波市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1463.311,
      "target_votes": 1765.0,
      "votes_delta": 301.689,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 20.616875,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.672533,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.511871,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.839338
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364894",
      "municipality_name": "東みよし町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashimiyoshi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 693.308,
      "target_votes": 835.0,
      "votes_delta": 141.692,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 20.437093,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.453957,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.717027,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.26307
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362026",
      "municipality_name": "鳴門市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naruto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2612.143,
      "target_votes": 3085.0,
      "votes_delta": 472.857,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 18.102263,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.088777,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.231825,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.143048
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362050",
      "municipality_name": "吉野川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshinogawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1769.428,
      "target_votes": 2026.0,
      "votes_delta": 256.572,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 14.500279,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.388479,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.543502,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.155023
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364045",
      "municipality_name": "板野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itano-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 629.166,
      "target_votes": 693.0,
      "votes_delta": 63.834,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.145812,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.548185,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.412681,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.135504
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363014",
      "municipality_name": "勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 165.0,
      "target_votes": 178.0,
      "votes_delta": 13.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.878788,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.805109,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.745866,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.059243
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364010",
      "municipality_name": "松茂町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsushige-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 801.425,
      "target_votes": 842.0,
      "votes_delta": 40.575,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.062857,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.829594,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.232752,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.596842
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363839",
      "municipality_name": "牟岐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 122.571,
      "target_votes": 121.0,
      "votes_delta": -1.571,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.281706,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.921005,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.648352,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -0.272653
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364037",
      "municipality_name": "藍住町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1910.93,
      "target_votes": 1875.0,
      "votes_delta": -35.93,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -1.880236,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.631001,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.570394,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.060607
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364029",
      "municipality_name": "北島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitajima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1396.23,
      "target_votes": 1352.0,
      "votes_delta": -44.23,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -3.167816,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 14.329126,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.780036,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.54909
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363413",
      "municipality_name": "石井町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ishii-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1132.967,
      "target_votes": 1003.0,
      "votes_delta": -129.967,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.471384,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.299162,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 9.06298,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.236182
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363871",
      "municipality_name": "美波町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 225.352,
      "target_votes": 199.0,
      "votes_delta": -26.352,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -11.693706,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.0598,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.602522,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.457278
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362018",
      "municipality_name": "徳島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 12359.175,
      "target_votes": 10623.0,
      "votes_delta": -1736.175,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -14.047661,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 12.495754,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 10.124085,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.371669
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362034",
      "municipality_name": "小松島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Komatsushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1622.612,
      "target_votes": 1349.0,
      "votes_delta": -273.612,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -16.862442,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.123685,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.419673,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.704012
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362042",
      "municipality_name": "阿南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Anan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 3330.602,
      "target_votes": 2707.0,
      "votes_delta": -623.602,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -18.723402,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 11.512624,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.441174,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.07145
    }
  ]
}
