{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "36",
    "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
    "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
    "party_id": "REI",
    "party_label": "れいわ",
    "party_label_en": "Reiwa Shinsengumi",
    "scope": "prefecture",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 24,
    "municipality_count": 24,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -57.077626,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": -21.6
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363421",
      "municipality_name": "神山町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiyama-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 125.0,
      "target_votes": 98.0,
      "votes_delta": -27.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -21.6,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.384065,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.369148,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.014917
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363839",
      "municipality_name": "牟岐町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 89.0,
      "target_votes": 61.0,
      "votes_delta": -28.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -31.460674,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.025409,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.351648,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.673761
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363880",
      "municipality_name": "海陽町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kaiyo-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 231.0,
      "target_votes": 143.0,
      "votes_delta": -88.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -38.095238,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.96745,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.339561,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.627889
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363014",
      "municipality_name": "勝浦町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Katsuura-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 89.0,
      "target_votes": 50.0,
      "votes_delta": -39.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -43.820225,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.210028,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.175805,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.034223
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364681",
      "municipality_name": "つるぎ町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tsurugi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 196.75,
      "target_votes": 110.0,
      "votes_delta": -86.75,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -44.091487,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.319005,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.772876,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.546129
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362034",
      "municipality_name": "小松島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Komatsushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1038.931,
      "target_votes": 558.0,
      "votes_delta": -480.931,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.290947,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.122308,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.482711,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.639597
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364053",
      "municipality_name": "上板町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamiita-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 341.0,
      "target_votes": 182.0,
      "votes_delta": -159.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.627566,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.86802,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.730273,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.137747
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363685",
      "municipality_name": "那賀町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naka-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 154.0,
      "target_votes": 82.0,
      "votes_delta": -72.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.753247,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.415138,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.163588,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.25155
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362050",
      "municipality_name": "吉野川市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshinogawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1074.978,
      "target_votes": 572.0,
      "votes_delta": -502.978,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -46.789609,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.918826,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.259074,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.659752
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364894",
      "municipality_name": "東みよし町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Higashimiyoshi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 391.0,
      "target_votes": 204.0,
      "votes_delta": -187.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -47.826087,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.459607,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.106914,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.352693
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363871",
      "municipality_name": "美波町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Minami-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 152.0,
      "target_votes": 79.0,
      "votes_delta": -73.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.026316,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 5.436338,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.621102,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.815236
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364010",
      "municipality_name": "松茂町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Matsushige-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 432.0,
      "target_votes": 221.0,
      "votes_delta": -211.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.842593,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.454702,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.473204,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.981498
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362018",
      "municipality_name": "徳島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Tokushima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 6540.925,
      "target_votes": 3346.0,
      "votes_delta": -3194.925,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -48.845156,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.613207,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.188853,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.424354
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362026",
      "municipality_name": "鳴門市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Naruto-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1545.872,
      "target_votes": 786.0,
      "votes_delta": -759.872,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -49.154911,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.154165,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.37122,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.782945
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363219",
      "municipality_name": "佐那河内村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Sanagouchi-son",
      "baseline_votes": 77.0,
      "target_votes": 38.0,
      "votes_delta": -39.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.649351,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.987296,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.220339,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.766957
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362077",
      "municipality_name": "美馬市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mima-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 779.0,
      "target_votes": 383.0,
      "votes_delta": -396.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -50.834403,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.864646,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.086718,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.777928
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362069",
      "municipality_name": "阿波市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Awa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 989.951,
      "target_votes": 477.0,
      "votes_delta": -512.951,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.815797,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.220123,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.11114,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.108983
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364037",
      "municipality_name": "藍住町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aizumi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1211.988,
      "target_votes": 583.0,
      "votes_delta": -628.988,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -51.897214,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.645324,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.908555,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.736769
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362085",
      "municipality_name": "三好市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Miyoshi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 725.733,
      "target_votes": 348.0,
      "votes_delta": -377.733,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.048481,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.193318,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.00207,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.191248
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "362042",
      "municipality_name": "阿南市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Anan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2033.915,
      "target_votes": 968.0,
      "votes_delta": -1065.915,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.407057,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.03047,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.018491,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.011979
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363022",
      "municipality_name": "上勝町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamikatsu-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 34.0,
      "target_votes": 16.0,
      "votes_delta": -18.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -52.941176,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 4.795487,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.18281,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -2.612677
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364029",
      "municipality_name": "北島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitajima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 656.0,
      "target_votes": 306.0,
      "votes_delta": -350.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -53.353659,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 6.732348,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.892523,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -3.839825
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "363413",
      "municipality_name": "石井町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ishii-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 731.0,
      "target_votes": 323.0,
      "votes_delta": -408.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -55.813953,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 7.290316,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 2.918587,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -4.371729
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "36",
      "prefecture_name": "徳島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Tokushima",
      "jis_code": "364045",
      "municipality_name": "板野町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itano-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 438.0,
      "target_votes": 188.0,
      "votes_delta": -250.0,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": -57.077626,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 8.73554,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 3.367365,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -5.368175
    }
  ]
}
