{
  "schema_version": "jp-election-municipality-proportional-swing-graph.v1",
  "dataset_id": "jp-election-db.derived-shape.graph",
  "family": "graph",
  "dataset": "municipality-proportional-swing-2025-2026",
  "source_release_version": "2026-05-03-v050",
  "point_grain": "municipality",
  "selector": {
    "prefecture_code": "",
    "prefecture_name": "",
    "prefecture_name_en": "",
    "region_id": "kyushu-okinawa",
    "region_name": "九州・沖縄地方",
    "region_name_en": "Kyushu-Okinawa Region",
    "party_id": "CDR_TJU",
    "party_label": "中道+ゆうこく（2025=公明+立憲）",
    "party_label_en": "Centrist + Yukoku bloc (2025=Komeito+CDP)",
    "scope": "region",
    "ranking_id": "",
    "ranking_label": "",
    "ranking_label_en": ""
  },
  "comparison": {
    "comparison_key": "20250720_hc_pr__20260208_hr_block",
    "baseline_election_set_key": "20250720_hc",
    "baseline_election_date": "2025-07-20",
    "baseline_vote_system": "pr",
    "target_election_set_key": "20260208_hr",
    "target_election_date": "2026-02-08",
    "target_vote_system": "block"
  },
  "metric": {
    "primary_metric_id": "votes_change_rate_pct",
    "primary_metric_label": "票数増減率",
    "secondary_metric_id": "votes_delta",
    "secondary_metric_label": "票数差"
  },
  "summary": {
    "point_grain": "municipality",
    "point_count": 293,
    "municipality_count": 293,
    "min_votes_change_rate_pct": -99.908814,
    "max_votes_change_rate_pct": 66.031033
  },
  "municipalities": [
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473278",
      "municipality_name": "北中城村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kitanakagusuku-son",
      "baseline_votes": 1344.327,
      "target_votes": 2232.0,
      "votes_delta": 887.673,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 66.031033,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.049169,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.868648,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 10.819479
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473260",
      "municipality_name": "北谷町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Chatan-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1972.492,
      "target_votes": 2801.0,
      "votes_delta": 828.508,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 42.003111,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.270659,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.073915,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 7.803256
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473286",
      "municipality_name": "中城村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakagusuku-son",
      "baseline_votes": 1716.359,
      "target_votes": 2269.0,
      "votes_delta": 552.641,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 32.19845,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 16.928287,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.50992,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.581633
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473294",
      "municipality_name": "西原町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nishihara-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 2950.55,
      "target_votes": 3889.0,
      "votes_delta": 938.45,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 31.805934,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 17.976909,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.025453,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 6.048544
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473065",
      "municipality_name": "今帰仁村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nakijin-son",
      "baseline_votes": 865.798,
      "target_votes": 1125.0,
      "votes_delta": 259.202,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 29.93793,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.217039,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.38559,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 5.168551
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473243",
      "municipality_name": "読谷村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yomitan-son",
      "baseline_votes": 3264.485,
      "target_votes": 4202.0,
      "votes_delta": 937.515,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 28.718619,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.381109,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.663143,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.282034
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "463922",
      "municipality_name": "さつま町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Satsuma-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1842.589,
      "target_votes": 2305.0,
      "votes_delta": 462.411,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 25.095721,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.354926,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.515609,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.160683
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "472085",
      "municipality_name": "浦添市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Urasoe-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9450.075,
      "target_votes": 11369.0,
      "votes_delta": 1918.925,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 20.305923,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.379281,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.382125,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 4.002844
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462152",
      "municipality_name": "薩摩川内市第2",
      "municipality_name_en": "Satsumasendai-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8509.433,
      "target_votes": 9962.0,
      "votes_delta": 1452.567,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 17.07008,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.733796,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.772467,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.038671
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "414255",
      "municipality_name": "白石町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Shiroishi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 3071.755,
      "target_votes": 3577.0,
      "votes_delta": 505.245,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 16.448089,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.529349,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 32.152809,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.62346
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "472050",
      "municipality_name": "宜野湾市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ginowan-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8010.877,
      "target_votes": 9259.0,
      "votes_delta": 1248.123,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.580354,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.261739,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.20414,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.942401
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "412082",
      "municipality_name": "小城市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ogi-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 5300.69,
      "target_votes": 6110.0,
      "votes_delta": 809.31,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 15.268012,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.438835,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 29.114648,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.675813
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "472115",
      "municipality_name": "沖縄市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Okinawa-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 12236.146,
      "target_votes": 13786.0,
      "votes_delta": 1549.854,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.666194,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.295809,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.72683,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.431021
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "472131",
      "municipality_name": "うるま市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Uruma-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 9683.53,
      "target_votes": 10874.0,
      "votes_delta": 1190.47,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 12.293761,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 18.835155,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.471018,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.635863
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462195",
      "municipality_name": "いちき串木野市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Ichikikushikino-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 2747.208,
      "target_votes": 3075.0,
      "votes_delta": 327.792,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 11.931823,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.519944,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.973605,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.453661
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473251",
      "municipality_name": "嘉手納町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kadena-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1073.302,
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      "votes_delta": 115.698,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 10.779631,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.303993,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.096523,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.79253
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      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "412015",
      "municipality_name": "佐賀市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Saga-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 26247.109,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 27.820279,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 3.638978
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "412104",
      "municipality_name": "神埼市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kanzaki-shi",
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.052461,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.620626
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "464040",
      "municipality_name": "長島町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Nagashima-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 963.25,
      "target_votes": 1055.0,
      "votes_delta": 91.75,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 9.525045,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 19.332967,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.418703
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473553",
      "municipality_name": "粟国村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aguni-son",
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      "target_votes": 40.0,
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      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.039858,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 13.333334,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.293476
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "463035",
      "municipality_name": "三島村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Mishima-mura",
      "baseline_votes": 38.833,
      "target_votes": 42.0,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 8.155435,
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.289855,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.311614
    },
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      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "412074",
      "municipality_name": "鹿島市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kashima-shi",
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      "target_votes": 3927.0,
      "votes_delta": 286.446,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.868198,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.293728,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 30.636605,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 2.342877
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      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462160",
      "municipality_name": "日置市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Hioki-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 4804.092,
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      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.574959,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.882077,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.958092,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.076015
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      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462241",
      "municipality_name": "伊佐市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Isa-shi",
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      "target_votes": 3026.0,
      "votes_delta": 203.957,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 7.227282,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 25.102677,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.194599,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.091922
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      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462080",
      "municipality_name": "出水市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Izumi-shi",
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      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.125324,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.545393
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      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "414247",
      "municipality_name": "江北町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kouhoku-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 1228.861,
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      "votes_delta": 84.139,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.846909,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 24.606748,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.477112,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.870364
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462063",
      "municipality_name": "阿久根市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Akune-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 1857.651,
      "target_votes": 1980.0,
      "votes_delta": 122.349,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.586221,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.837364,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.500706,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.663342
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "47",
      "prefecture_name": "沖縄県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Okinawa",
      "jis_code": "473111",
      "municipality_name": "恩納村",
      "municipality_name_en": "Onna-son",
      "baseline_votes": 847.003,
      "target_votes": 899.0,
      "votes_delta": 51.997,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 6.138939,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 20.190774,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.263009,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.072235
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "40",
      "prefecture_name": "福岡県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Fukuoka",
      "jis_code": "406040",
      "municipality_name": "糸田町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Itoda-machi",
      "baseline_votes": 987.542,
      "target_votes": 1042.0,
      "votes_delta": 54.458,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.5145,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 28.582981,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 26.834921,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": -1.74806
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "46",
      "prefecture_name": "鹿児島県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Kagoshima",
      "jis_code": "462250",
      "municipality_name": "姶良市",
      "municipality_name_en": "Aira-shi",
      "baseline_votes": 8221.537,
      "target_votes": 8638.0,
      "votes_delta": 416.463,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 5.065513,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.901856,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 23.442886,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.54103
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "414239",
      "municipality_name": "大町町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Omachi-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 975.585,
      "target_votes": 1010.0,
      "votes_delta": 34.415,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.527627,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 31.736663,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 33.114754,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 1.378091
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "413275",
      "municipality_name": "吉野ヶ里町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Yoshinogari-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1636.788,
      "target_votes": 1687.0,
      "votes_delta": 50.212,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 3.067716,
      "baseline_vote_share_pct_muni": 21.421122,
      "target_vote_share_pct_muni": 22.291226,
      "vote_share_delta_pct_pt": 0.870104
    },
    {
      "prefecture_code": "41",
      "prefecture_name": "佐賀県",
      "prefecture_name_en": "Saga",
      "jis_code": "413453",
      "municipality_name": "上峰町",
      "municipality_name_en": "Kamimine-cho",
      "baseline_votes": 1120.209,
      "target_votes": 1153.0,
      "votes_delta": 32.791,
      "votes_change_rate_pct": 2.927222,
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}
